President Donald Trump’s impeachment chances remain low in 2026, even as a new poll released this week found that a majority of respondents would support Congress beginning impeachment efforts.
The new poll from Verasight and Strength by Numbers, a Substack authored by journalist G. Elliot Morris, provided a glimpse of how Americans feel about impeachment ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. Some Democrats have pushed for impeaching Trump amid the Iran war, but the likelihood of that remains low. Republicans control the House of Representatives, and no sitting Republicans have signaled support for impeachment. However, it’s likely to become an issue in the midterms.
Newsweek reached out to the White House for comment via email.
Donald Trump Impeachment Support: What Poll Shows
A poll found that most Americans support impeaching Trump. Fifty-five percent of respondents said they would support impeaching the president, compared with 37 percent who said they would oppose impeachment.
Among independents, a critical voting group for the midterms, 50 percent supported impeachment, while 28 percent opposed it. The poll found some support for impeachment among Republicans, with 21 percent saying they would support it. Still, 72 percent of Republican respondents said they were in opposition.
The poll surveyed 1,514 adults from April 10-14, 2026. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points.
Grant Davis Reeher, a Syracuse University political scientist, told Newsweek on Friday that the poll does not fit with his own sense of the public mood on the question. He noted that the impeachment support matches the president’s disapproval rating, and that there would be some “drop off from disapproval of job performance to support for impeachment.”
“I think the public is tired of this level of political combat, and it’s obvious that impeachment won’t lead anywhere beyond the House,” he said.
Donald Trump Impeachment Chances: What Prediction Markets Show
Trump is unlikely to be impeached this year, according to Kalshi’s prediction markets, which gave only a 13 percent chance of impeachment before January 1, 2027, as of Friday. However, it does show a 67 percent chance of impeachment before January 1, 2028.
Polymarket gave Trump a 65 percent chance of being impeached at any point before his term ends as of Friday.
Prediction markets reflect traders’ sentiments but are not always accurate predictors of the future.
Impeachment Looms Over Midterms
Democrats hope to reclaim control of Congress. If Democrats do win a majority, impeachment would be an option for them, though leaders have not said they plan to launch impeachment inquiries. Any impeachment would face a difficult time in the Senate, where conviction and removal would require support from two-thirds of all senators.
Democrats “will be under enormous pressure from their base, should they win back the House, to resurrect an impeachment effort,” Reeher said.
“Ultimately, I see that backfiring on them for 2028, when they will have to pivot at least partially from the attack on Trump to the offering of a better positive alternative,” he said. “The impeachment will be a political black hole, swallowing up the effort to provide an alternative vision for going forward.”
Trump faced intensifying impeachment calls from Democrats earlier in April amid his threats of massive strikes against Iran. Many Democrats in the House of Representatives voted to impeach Trump in December, after he accused some Democratic lawmakers of engaging in “SEDITIOUS BEHAVIOR, punishable by DEATH.”
However, 23 Democrats voted against the impeachment articles, and many others simply voted “present.” Some in the party, particularly those who come from more competitive states and districts, have been more hesitant to support impeachment as they represent more purple electorates where many voters have supported the president.
House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Democratic Whip Katherine Clark and Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar said in a joint statement at the time impeachment is a “sacred constitutional vehicle designed to hold a corrupt executive accountable for abuse of power, breaking the law and violating the public trust,” but that the “serious work” it entails had not been completed.
Representative Jamie Raskin, a Maryland Democrat, told Time magazine earlier in April that people saying House Democrats should impeach Trump “denies this political reality.”
“There is not a single Republican who has called for impeachment or indicated to us interest in impeachment at this point,” he told the publication.
What Do Other Polls Show About Trump Impeachment Support?
A Lake Research Partners poll, commissioned by progressive organization Free Speech For People, earlier in April, similarly found majority support for impeachment. Fifty-two percent of registered voters back impeachment, compared with 40 percent who oppose it, according to the survey of 790 voters.
A Rasmussen Reports survey of 1,099 likely voters from December 21-23, 2025, showed that 68 percent of Democrats supported impeaching Trump.
White House Has Downplayed Impeachment
The White House has previously downplayed impeachment efforts.
“Democrats have been talking about impeaching President Trump since before he was even sworn into office. The Democrats in Congress are deranged, weak, and ineffective, which is why their approval ratings are at historic lows,” White House spokesperson Davis Ingle previously told Newsweek.
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